0x79eb14e1a737ab4d480448c1d9c4be1680ecce85
0x79eb14e1a737ab4d480448c1d9c4be1680ecce85
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$19.47
Total PnL
$-11.80
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 2 Leeds United?
3 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$3.24
$0.13
- NO
Will Guayaquil City FC win on 2026-08-02?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$2.18
$0.03
- NO
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.80
$-0.01
- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
2 shares @ 90.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.79
$0.15
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
2 shares @ 76.5¢·now 80.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.59
$0.07
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.59
$0.03
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.9¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.58
$-0.01
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.55
$-0.01
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.53
$0.03
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.44
$0.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill ADC Juan Pablo II College win on 2026-08-02?$1.07Aug 2, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 2 Leeds United?$1.04Aug 2, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 2 Leeds United?$1.04Aug 2, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 2 Leeds United?$1.03Aug 2, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMCanadian Open: Jaume Munar vs Rinky Hijikata$1.18Aug 2, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guayaquil City FC win on 2026-08-02?$1.04Aug 2, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guayaquil City FC win on 2026-08-02?$1.11Aug 2, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Silkeborg IF 2 - 0 FC København?$2.13Aug 2, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ADC Juan Pablo II College win on 2026-08-02?$1.06Aug 2, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadian Open: Jaume Munar vs Rinky Hijikata$1.07Aug 2, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMFC Volendam vs. Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 4.5$2.23Aug 2, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ajax Amsterdam (-2.5)$1.07Aug 2, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Silkeborg IF 2 - 0 FC København?$1.02Aug 2, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Silkeborg IF 2 - 0 FC København?$1.02Aug 2, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Horsens win on 2026-08-02?$1.10Aug 2, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMSamsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debru$1.23Aug 2, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMITF Florence: Piper Charney vs Annika Penickova$1.12Aug 2, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ajax Amsterdam (-2.5)$1.01Aug 2, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Volendam vs. Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 4.5$1.01Aug 2, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Florence: Piper Charney vs Annika Penickova$1.02Aug 2, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.