0x79eeadba1abe13a235d7f7910359fd9a1c67aa3c
0x79eeadba1abe13a235d7f7910359fd9a1c67aa3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$18.93
Total PnL
$-5.38
Realised
$-3.34
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$4.93
$2.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 26?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$2.00
$0.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 23?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$2.00
$0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 26?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$2.00
$0.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$2.00
$0.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 23?
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$2.00
$0.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 26?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$2.00
$1.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 27?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$2.00
$0.74
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?
562 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will March 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
496 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 27?$0.00Apr 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 26?$0.00Apr 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 23?$0.00Apr 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27?$0.00Apr 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 26?$0.00Apr 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 23?$0.00Apr 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 26?$0.00Apr 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?$0.00Apr 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 18?$0.00Apr 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?$0.00Apr 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill March 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$0.00Apr 17, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?$0.00Apr 17, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 27?$0.00Apr 17, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 23?$0.00Apr 17, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 23?$0.00Apr 17, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 17, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 18?$0.00Apr 17, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill March 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$0.00Apr 17, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?$0.00Apr 17, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 11:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 11:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.