Bulky-Input
0x79f7e19547965d2dad158490d96b31cc4d16d24a
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$789.84
Total PnL
$-291.96
Realised
$23.48
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
148 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$147.33
$3.39
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
129 shares @ 93.5¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$121.86
$0.96
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
274 shares @ 33.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.11
$16.10
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
104 shares @ 84.6¢·now 89.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$92.62
$4.54
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
42 shares @ 82.4¢·now 78.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$32.77
$-1.64
- NO
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
73 shares @ 44.9¢·now 44.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$32.15
$-0.66
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
28 shares @ 93.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$27.44
$1.65
- NO
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
38 shares @ 51.6¢·now 71.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$27.24
$7.44
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
55 shares @ 58.4¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$27.04
$-4.85
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
25 shares @ 57.2¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$19.05
$4.61
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$5.23Jul 29, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$12.75Jul 29, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.96Jul 29, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$19.02Jul 29, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$3.38Jul 29, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$3.16Jul 29, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$11.87Jul 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$16.12Jul 28, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$10.75Jul 28, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$3.45Jul 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$12.56Jul 28, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1.24Jul 28, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$6.99Jul 28, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$7.09Jul 28, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 27?$10.33Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$4.60Jul 28, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.43Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$8.09Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$8.87Jul 28, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 10:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 15:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.