Limp-Elbow
0x79fb2e1ad990705e92919abaf27cd5e5e7d1701a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.25
Total PnL
$-14.70
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Apr 1, 2027$1.25
$0.24
- NO
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
8 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
- AVALANCHE
Avalanche vs. Jets
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- NO
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
4 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- PANTHERS
Panthers vs. Kraken
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?$1.04Aug 22, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$1.08Jun 30, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$2.69Jun 27, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$4.41Jun 26, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$1.22Jun 22, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$2.27Jun 21, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$1.36Jun 20, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$2.32Jun 4, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.86May 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.24May 16, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.74May 15, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.09May 14, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Kraken$1.22Mar 15, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Jets$2.84Mar 14, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Magic$3.88Mar 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Magic$1.55Mar 11, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Raptors$1.33Mar 9, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Raptors$1.05Mar 8, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.25Mar 8, 10:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.