Elderly-Sleuth
0x79feaa228074d44c2b05bca045db6c55f0d76286
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.15
Realised
$-0.63
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 18?
60 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 17?
5 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?
2 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?
1 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?$2.07Jun 26, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 27?$4.45Jun 26, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 24°C on June 27?$0.01Jun 25, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 26?$0.93Jun 25, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 26?$1.90Jun 25, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?$2.77Jun 25, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 26?$2.08Jun 25, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 26?$0.13Jun 25, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 26?$0.13Jun 25, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?$0.03Jun 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?$0.04Jun 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?$0.07Jun 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?$0.07Jun 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?$0.09Jun 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?$0.06Jun 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?$0.20Jun 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 27?$0.19Jun 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?$0.13Jun 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?$0.28Jun 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 27?$0.30Jun 25, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 02:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 01:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.