Elderly-Sleuth
0x79feaa228074d44c2b05bca045db6c55f0d76286
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-696.35
Realised
$-3.74
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
443 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-394.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
300 shares @ 95.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-287.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 18?
60 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 17?
5 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on July 23?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on July 23?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?
2 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$8.16Aug 12, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$7.39Aug 12, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$7.38Aug 12, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$6.97Aug 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$4.95Aug 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$2.16Aug 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$28.43Aug 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$361.58Aug 12, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$0.00Aug 12, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$0.00Aug 12, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$138.26Aug 12, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$18.24Aug 12, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$16.16Aug 12, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$20.00Aug 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$19.07Aug 12, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.00Aug 12, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$4.77Aug 12, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Aug 12, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$362.30Aug 12, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$340.47Aug 12, 02:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $45.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.