Jolly-Fact
0x7a0111845c80406c88dcc23c3c67988c6f6bae09
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$22.38
Total PnL
$-2.46
Realised
$-1.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.47
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.50
$0.50
- NO
Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.41
$0.41
- NO
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.38
$0.38
- NO
Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.13
$0.13
- NO
John Oliver cancelled by December 31?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Xi visit the US by December 31?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $1M in 2025?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?$277.76Nov 3, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Doug Ghim win the 2025 PGA TOUR John Deere Classic?$1.04Nov 3, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win another major in 2025?$1.05Nov 3, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joaquin Niemann win the 2025 LIV Golf Andalucia tournament?$2.20Nov 3, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMAngels vs. Blue Jays$3.28Nov 3, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$3.57Nov 3, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?$287.60Oct 15, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?$298.69Oct 15, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?$299.00Oct 15, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYJohn Oliver cancelled by December 31?$1.00Sep 22, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi visit the US by December 31?$1.00Sep 22, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $1M in 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Antifa" this week? (September 22-28)$1.00Sep 22, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Jul 5, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Jul 5, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joaquin Niemann win the 2025 LIV Golf Andalucia tournament?$2.00Jul 5, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Ghim win the 2025 PGA TOUR John Deere Classic?$1.00Jul 5, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win another major in 2025?$1.00Jul 5, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAngels vs. Blue Jays$2.00Jul 5, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.01Jul 5, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $35.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 3, 07:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".