Forthright-Castle
0x7a0456d00272eb63133cad01d1a97faa4c815830
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$17.33
Total PnL
$-54.97
Realised
$53.27
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
119 shares @ 15.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.30
$-7.43
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
146 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.04
$0.13
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.63
$-2.67
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10 shares @ 22.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-2.02
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-0.78
- YES
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?
1104 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.90
- ASVEL LYON-VILLEURBANNE
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Panathinaikos
105 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.42
- YES
Will Trump say "Soybean" during Xi events on October 29?
52 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
50 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?
44 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Real Madrid$1.57May 22, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.30May 17, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMPanathinaikos vs. Valencia$1.21May 10, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLPanathinaikos vs. Valencia$3.65May 6, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanathinaikos vs. Valencia$3.04May 6, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$3.10May 6, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?$1.06Apr 13, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15?$0.00Apr 3, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$0.00Apr 3, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Apr 3, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.80Mar 31, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.28Mar 21, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.68Mar 21, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMReal Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score$0.00Mar 18, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.16Mar 18, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$4.97Mar 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score$5.10Mar 11, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$4.75Mar 11, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.60Mar 9, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$4.75Mar 7, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".