Miniature-Wafer
0x7a0e92c12cf1cd12cc287c0b47521903c47dbbde
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-109.75
Realised
$5.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$275.56Jul 10, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$197.35Jun 17, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$61.58Jan 14, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$50.00Jan 14, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$20.00Jan 14, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$2.42Jan 14, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$11.38Jan 14, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$46.00Jan 14, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?$0.00Jan 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?$77.20Dec 22, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$77.21Dec 22, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$78.38Dec 21, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2024?$20.00Dec 19, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2024?$98.37Dec 19, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2024?$87.62Dec 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel invade Syria in 2024?$87.61Dec 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Syria in 2024?$81.55Dec 16, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$81.56Dec 16, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2024?$4.37Dec 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2024?$4.37Dec 15, 21:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $63.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.