Substantial-Doughnut
0x7a0ebd0d919279b2b4469da6f3c425061b67c7a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$116.87
Total PnL
$-550.64
Realised
$8.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
58 shares @ 17.1¢·now 81.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$47.80
$37.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
30 shares @ 28.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$23.70
$15.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$21.56
$2.16
- YES
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
350 shares @ 2.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.02
$9.27
- YES
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.80
$-4.20
- YES
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.87
$-9.13
- PUMAS DE LA UNAM
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)
118 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.06
$-12.94
- YES
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-14?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.03
$-29.97
- CR FLAMENGO
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
50 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.03
$-12.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?$10.41May 15, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)$13.29May 14, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)$13.35May 14, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-14?$30.45May 14, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.85May 14, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.64May 14, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EC Bahia win on 2026-05-13?$25.64May 14, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?$19.41May 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?$0.31May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?$0.59May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?$0.76May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$11.60May 13, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?$50.00May 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Lai released by June 30?$1.38May 13, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Lai released by June 30?$4.86May 13, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Lai released by June 30?$8.76May 13, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.75May 12, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.25May 12, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11?$69.81May 12, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.00May 12, 03:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".