Outlying-Scenario
0x7a1089fcdf0236e7fb2f303f66d15d037300e058
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$62.75
Total PnL
$-1.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
55 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.81
$-0.19
- NO
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.73
$0.73
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 13?$1.69Jun 13, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12?$1.33Jun 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 13?$1.03Jun 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12?$1.01Jun 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$55.01Jun 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.03Jun 12, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$500.44Apr 18, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 18, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 18, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$500.00Apr 12, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $210 in July?$0.00Oct 14, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $140 in July?$0.00Oct 14, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $210 in July?$1.00Jul 26, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $140 in July?$1.00Jul 26, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.98Mar 13, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill US annual inflation be 2.9% or greater in December?$0.00Jan 20, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$396.40Dec 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$400.18Dec 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henry Cucalón win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?$399.95Dec 18, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $156.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.