Quixotic-Headlight
0x7a14830e2aef128a072298e79e7055807bc49704
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$36.46
Total PnL
$-40.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
36 shares @ 27.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$36.36
$26.36
- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
16 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-1.89
- NO
North Korea missile launch by November 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
North Korea missile launch by October 31?
944 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
John Brennan arrested by October 31?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago by December 31?
94 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.70
- NO
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
46 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Amazon acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$10.00Feb 26, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMRussian strike on Poland by December 31?$5.49Feb 26, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$5.68Feb 26, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$6.17Feb 26, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $1.00Dec 10, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$6.05Dec 10, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?$6.22Dec 10, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Wicked: For Good – The Soundtrack' debut at No. 1 on the Billboard 200?$6.76Dec 10, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Afghanistan by October 31?$0.00Nov 3, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by October 31?$0.00Nov 3, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Afghanistan by October 31?$5.19Nov 3, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by October 31?$5.32Nov 3, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$5.00Oct 30, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$5.00Oct 30, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$5.00Oct 30, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by November 15?$1.00Oct 29, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by October 31?$1.00Oct 29, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?$3.00Oct 29, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked: For Good – The Soundtrack' debut at No. 1 on the Billboard 200?$5.00Oct 29, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?$2.00Oct 29, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".