0x7a15c19bf1488ba30f04b9f706be0c5bfcb97036
0x7a15c19bf1488ba30f04b9f706be0c5bfcb97036
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$267.11
Total PnL
$-795.52
Realised
$-5.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2037 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$108.98
$-1.02
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 72.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$90.19
$80.19
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.80
$-2.20
- YES
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
347 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.64
$-2.36
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.71
$2.71
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
270 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.68
$0.68
- YES
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
466 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.49
$-16.51
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
272 shares @ 7.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.86
$-17.14
- YES
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
357 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.50
$-22.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
74 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.26
$-4.74
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $91.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".