Reasonable-Seed
0x7a16468b7cef57474dfebf615c07c4cc87034481
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$49.97
Total PnL
$1.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
9 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.59
$0.13
- NO
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?
7 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.93
$0.55
- NO
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.22
$0.02
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
6 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.13
$0.13
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$5.82
$0.04
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.80
$0.02
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
5 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.30
$0.08
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.18
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.22Dec 30, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$5.00Dec 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.78Dec 18, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$5.01Dec 18, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$6.49Dec 18, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.20Nov 17, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.22Nov 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$6.00Oct 23, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.20Oct 23, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$5.00Sep 23, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$6.30Sep 23, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.50Sep 23, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.78Aug 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$8.46Aug 18, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.56Aug 18, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$3.4KJul 22, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$991.01Jul 22, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$991.01Jul 22, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$992.50Jul 22, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$992.50Jul 22, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $364.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".