Sentimental-Luck
0x7a4126074ece8dffeb2178f68d4ff0e8bf5a2562
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$23.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 29?
1200 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.2K
$7.03
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 29?
431 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$429.92
$-0.35
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
421 shares @ 92.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$384.74
$-6.19
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 29?
353 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$353.09
$0.18
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 29?
313 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$312.83
$0.25
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 29?
215 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$214.89
$0.11
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 29?
192 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$191.52
$-0.29
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 30?
109 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$108.98
$0.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$99.95
$0.95
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 29?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$99.85
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 29?$8.09Jul 29, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 28?$218.00Jul 28, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 28?$303.24Jul 28, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 29?$57.73Jul 28, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 29?$28.15Jul 28, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 29?$1.71Jul 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 29?$19.90Jul 28, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 29?$99.81Jul 28, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 28?$56.84Jul 28, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 29?$9.70Jul 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 29?$3.90Jul 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 29?$14.86Jul 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 29?$8.29Jul 28, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 29?$559.79Jul 28, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 29?$99.65Jul 28, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 29?$99.23Jul 28, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 29?$98.94Jul 28, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 29?$249.43Jul 28, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 29?$75.97Jul 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 29?$0.46Jul 28, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $81.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.