Hungry-Eardrum
0x7a43091fc16a07280b8a2069b5c34822fc2119cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-265.85
Realised
$-2.38
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?
379 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-167.44
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
133 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-87.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 3, 2026?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$88.38Jul 3, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$0.00Jul 3, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.07Jul 2, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Jul 2, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$2.07Jul 2, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$91.70Jul 2, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$56.15Jul 2, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies$57.08Jul 2, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies$35.23Jul 1, 23:03 UTC
- REWARD$1.09Jul 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: France (-1.5) AND France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5 AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France leading at halftime?$34.20Jun 30, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5) AND France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5 AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France leading at halftime?$17.81Jun 30, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$16.65Jun 30, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.00Jun 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.00Jun 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.01Jun 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.01Jun 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.01Jun 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.00Jun 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.01Jun 30, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.