Outlandish-Spread
0x7a43ceb35b43ed367de95646af5672350caaf2f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$100.00
Total PnL
$-588.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?
100 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$100.00
$45.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
21309 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-273.90
- YES
Did Luigi Mangione's parents have UnitedHealthCare?
1150 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-103.50
- YES
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?
715 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-256.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump win Texas by 10+ points?$0.00Jan 25, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$0.00Jan 25, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins every swing state?$0.00Jan 25, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$0.00Jan 25, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$63.34Jan 16, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$38.68Jan 16, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$39.00Jan 16, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$594.32Jan 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?$256.19Dec 16, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?$55.00Dec 16, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYDid Luigi Mangione's parents have UnitedHealthCare?$103.50Dec 16, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$345.01Nov 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$416.73Nov 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$239.19Nov 13, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$34.72Nov 13, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$567.24Nov 8, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$240.19Nov 8, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEM30-year mortgage rate below 6% before election?$0.00Nov 8, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMEric Adams out as NYC mayor by Friday?$0.00Nov 8, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israeli troops enter Beirut by October 31? $0.00Nov 8, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $88.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 10:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".