Lonely-Lemonade-Cowboy
0x7a45082360f28e5c685d80a8b2d335644904df70
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$190.47
Total PnL
$-188.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$9.74
$3.98
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?
9 shares @ 63.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.06
$3.31
- NO
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.25B by July 31?
7 shares @ 80.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.90
$1.15
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?
9 shares @ 65.0¢·now 76.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.76
$1.00
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?
8 shares @ 75.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$6.75
$1.00
- NO
Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?
8 shares @ 79.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.41
$0.42
- NO
Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?
8 shares @ 70.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$6.37
$0.62
- NO
Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?
7 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.29
$0.47
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?
11 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$6.24
$-0.05
- NO
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.24
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?$6.00Jul 22, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-07-23?$6.13Jul 22, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$9.59Jul 22, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$6.10Jul 20, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 15?$6.06Jul 20, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $20B?$6.10Jul 20, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.51Jul 20, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.19Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China become the #2 global art market in 2026?$5.87Jul 19, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vučić officially leave office by July 17?$7.19Jul 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?$6.39Jul 7, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?$6.47Jul 7, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?$6.40Jul 7, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.99Jul 7, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Troy Reh record the fastest shot at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?$9.13Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$5.83Jul 6, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Enzo Fernández score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.81Jul 6, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$5.85Jul 6, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?$5.85Jul 6, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?$5.80Jul 5, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.