Conventional-Mechanism
0x7a4b374f4bf9468bc167ad592ab6cd96ebfc672b
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$11.36
Total PnL
$-9.76
Realised
$-3.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 28?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.55
$0.01
- NO
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 25?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.49
$0.00
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?
1 shares @ 87.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Meta settle with the FTC?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 28?$337.54Dec 25, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMFanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?$2.70Dec 25, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?$2.00Dec 20, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 28?$346.20Dec 20, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 25?$343.63Dec 20, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 25?$347.10Dec 20, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Dec 12, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$3.00Dec 12, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy a sports team before July?$1.02Dec 12, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMCHIPS Act repealed before July?$2.15Dec 12, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released before July?$2.53Dec 12, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy a sports team before July?$1.00May 30, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released before July?$2.00May 30, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta settle with the FTC?$2.00May 30, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$1.00May 30, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Capitol foreign flag ban be signed into law?$1.11May 30, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.01May 30, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Tariff" during the March meeting?$1.03May 30, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile test in March?$1.79May 30, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCHIPS Act repealed before July?$2.00Mar 7, 01:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $39.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 25, 02:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".