Improbable-Quota
0x7a4ea2e82c3489ffacf16e7af2b86955e102bd72
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-784.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
948 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-474.03
- YES
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?
205 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-102.29
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
132 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-71.47
- NO
Will Usyk beat Fury?
96 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2024$0.00
$-44.07
- YES
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
76 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-40.28
- YES
Solana above $260 on January 31?
40 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.20
- SOUTHERN MISS
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss
29 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-16.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
24 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-8.65
- NO
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-9.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMSabres vs. Panthers$156.90Feb 28, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Panthers$78.45Feb 27, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Pistons$119.77Jan 20, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Pistons$68.27Jan 19, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWestern Kentucky vs. Southern Miss$16.02Dec 23, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$8.65Dec 14, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$66.54Nov 29, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$58.03Nov 24, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$40.28Aug 12, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$71.47Jul 12, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?$102.29Jun 16, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$410.79May 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$213.61May 14, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$474.03Apr 5, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin by March 31?$77.58Apr 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by March 31?$77.50Mar 30, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?$154.71Mar 7, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?$75.47Mar 5, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$47.68Feb 10, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$22.41Feb 3, 09:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $62.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.