Political-Diagnosis
0x7a56a85d856d07687208ad87473798445868511b
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
873 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Republicans control 218 or fewer seats in the House after the election?
501 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
216 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
164 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?
77 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Republicans control 224 seats in the House after the election?
36 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$9.50Nov 13, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans control 219 seats in the House after the election?$9.42Nov 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$4.00Nov 11, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$4.00Nov 11, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 224 seats in the House after the election?$0.80Nov 11, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 218 or fewer seats in the House after the election?$5.00Nov 11, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 219 seats in the House after the election?$5.00Nov 11, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?$8.00Nov 11, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?$10.00Nov 11, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $6.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".