Misty-Shelf
0x7a57f26ae563a69803d6ba2ee8a1e34d094c9ac1
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$26.86
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
1300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?
525 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Salford City FC win on 2026-02-14?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
469 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-33.17
- YES
Will Córdoba CF vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
311 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-10?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?
292 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?
284 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.57
- YES
Will SK Brann win on 2026-02-19?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.07Jul 16, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.10Jul 16, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.08Jul 16, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$10.99Jul 16, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$5.19Jul 16, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$5.18Jul 16, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$14.32Jun 29, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYVinícius Júnior: 1+ goals AND Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$3.98Jun 29, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$10.20Jun 29, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$8.24Jun 28, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$5.14Jun 28, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?$9.47Jun 28, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$3.17Jun 28, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$10.72Jun 28, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.10Jun 28, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$4.41Jun 28, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$2.07Jun 28, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$3.07Jun 28, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?$5.08Jun 28, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$5.14Jun 20, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $8.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.