Firsthand-Sleep
0x7a6e75050700f005f72cf969f1a613b640fb9904
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.78
Realised
$0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 25°F or below on January 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
395 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.89
- YES
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 25°F or below on January 21?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9PM ET
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ALLEN
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)
12 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 16, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Mar 15, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$3.70Mar 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$19.89Mar 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$10.19Mar 7, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$10.00Mar 7, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$1.00Jan 24, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?$1.00Jan 24, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$1.00Jan 24, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)$2.00Jan 24, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)$0.71Jan 24, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)$1.00Jan 23, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)$1.00Jan 23, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)$1.00Jan 22, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$2.00Jan 22, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$1.00Jan 22, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)$1.00Jan 22, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)$1.00Jan 22, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 25°F or below on January 21?$1.00Jan 20, 19:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".