Kind-Failure
0x7a74f921e8dc55e9a8886f9dfef0055200121825
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$34.32
Total PnL
$-3.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?
9 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$9.16
$0.16
- NO
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.45
$0.45
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$6.38
$0.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?
6 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$6.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 20?
3 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$3.15
$0.15
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- OVER
Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5$5.20Mar 28, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?$6.00Feb 28, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by March 31?$9.00Feb 28, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$6.00Feb 28, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$6.00Jan 20, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 20?$3.00Jan 20, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.00Jan 20, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$1.00Nov 27, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $4.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".