Glum-Argument
0x7a7f8d761753676bdab2bfa58c2990fd36e2c1f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-84.98
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
737 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bully" this week? (February 22)
363 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.06Apr 8, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$40.84Apr 4, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$11.90Apr 1, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$11.49Apr 1, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$10.00Mar 26, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Mar 26, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$3.50Mar 5, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$2.00Mar 5, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$2.00Mar 5, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$2.00Mar 5, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bully" this week? (February 22)$3.40Feb 23, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Jan 29, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenegal vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$1.00Jan 14, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Senegal win on 2026-01-09?$1.67Jan 10, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$5.15Jan 7, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$0.91Jan 7, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-01-09?$1.00Jan 7, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 7, 23:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 12:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 23:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".