Absolute-Adaptation
0x7a81093357e453aa76d776da7a61624e30d3e071
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$54.76
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-154.74
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7301 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$54.76
$-285.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
563 shares @ 79.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-447.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
497 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-246.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
143 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
103 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- ZVEREV
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
101 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
97 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
96 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
95 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$88.68Mar 11, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner$85.02Mar 11, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner$70.00Mar 11, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner$73.66Mar 11, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner$58.93Mar 11, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$58.91Mar 11, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$27.00Mar 7, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$400.00Mar 7, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$12.04Mar 7, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.75Mar 7, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.36Mar 7, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11.85Mar 7, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30.48Mar 7, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.29Mar 7, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$12.53Mar 7, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.50Mar 7, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.53Mar 7, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.25Mar 7, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.78Mar 7, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.94Mar 7, 21:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $117.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 03:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".