0x7a835544bcb1356ddeda01c46357d81ba0fce78e
0x7a835544bcb1356ddeda01c46357d81ba0fce78e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-671.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on April 4?
900 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- RAJASTHAN
Gujarat Titans vs. Rajasthan Royals
820 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2025$0.00
$-369.00
- NO
March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?
250 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Panama Canal" during NRCC Dinner on April 8?
80 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2025$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 23?
80 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Trump announce tariffs on Mexico on April 2?
30 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-26.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 25?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.55
- YES
Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?$1.30Apr 23, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLPGL Bucharest: Complexity vs. G2$1.60Apr 12, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPGL Bucharest: Complexity vs. G2$1.50Apr 12, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on April 11?$3.40Apr 11, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rangers vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?$5.00Apr 11, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rangers vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?$1.30Apr 9, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGujarat Titans vs. Rajasthan Royals$81.00Apr 9, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGujarat Titans vs. Rajasthan Royals$288.00Apr 9, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hamas" during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$360.00Apr 9, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter win on 2025-04-08?$10.00Apr 9, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Panama Canal" during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$44.00Apr 8, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hamas" during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$176.40Apr 8, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Job" 15+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$2.95Apr 8, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 15+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?$2.20Apr 8, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leicester vs. Newcastle end in a draw?$220.00Apr 8, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win on 2025-04-08?$2.30Apr 7, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leicester vs. Newcastle end in a draw?$173.80Apr 7, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLTeam from West wins March Madness?$69.60Apr 7, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTeam from West wins March Madness?$69.60Apr 7, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarch Madness: Team from the SEC to win?$120.00Apr 7, 07:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $68.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.