Real-Hydrocarbon
0x7a8613e7d06b684b17e6b32ba4c75831cf7d1658
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$11.16
Total PnL
$-18.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 January 12-18?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 14, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jan 15, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$1.00Jan 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 14, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 January 12-18?$1.00Jan 15, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 5, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$1.01Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?$1.02Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.02Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$2.00Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.02Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 15, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 11, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$1.01Dec 11, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 02:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.