Awful-Abundance
0x7a92e6159fbe49b1a03523afe8346965f518f451
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$137.08
Total PnL
$-539.35
Realised
$65.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1152 shares @ 15.5¢·now 11.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$137.08
$-41.75
- YES
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
2490 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
951 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
650 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-102.03
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
350 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-101.50
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?
119 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-8.76
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?
78 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$184.87May 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$186.36Apr 8, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$161.58Mar 10, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $99.70Nov 24, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token in 2025?$40.00Nov 19, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?$43.50Nov 10, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?$58.00Nov 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $96.00Oct 29, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $21.45Oct 29, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $18.59Oct 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$18.59Oct 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$17.74Oct 24, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?$15.98Oct 24, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?$10.88Oct 24, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?$7.40Oct 24, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?$3.00Oct 24, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?$1.36Oct 24, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?$0.00Oct 5, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?$23.80Oct 5, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?$1.00Oct 4, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $48.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.