Naive-Miracle
0x7a981bc91097f36c77e57d0a278020f56521e1e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$419.40
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
600 shares @ 51.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$257.70
$-48.30
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
600 shares @ 15.5¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$161.70
$68.70
- DOWN
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?
3689 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-316.34
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?
3000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-32.99
- DOWN
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?
1800 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-221.97
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
1200 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-624.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?
935 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-56.07
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?
500 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-17.45
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
500 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-115.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.