Strict-South
0x7aa40cb8177bcdf0a4b8c4985616a163e5274d69
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-535.24
Realised
$-3.38
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- NO
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
13388 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-13.95
- NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
5500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2194 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 17?$70.28Jul 17, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 17?$70.78Jul 17, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?$30.02Jul 16, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 17?$70.04Jul 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 17?$70.01Jul 16, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 13?$71.47Jul 13, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 13?$70.07Jul 12, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 11?$71.14Jul 11, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 11?$20.48Jul 11, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 11?$20.41Jul 11, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 11?$20.02Jul 10, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 11?$20.02Jul 10, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 11?$70.06Jul 10, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 4?$70.42Jul 4, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 4?$70.78Jul 4, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 4?$38.66Jul 4, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 4?$38.03Jul 3, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 4?$70.02Jul 3, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 4?$70.04Jul 3, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 1?$71.14Jul 1, 23:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $48.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 07:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 23:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.