Scratchy-Expectancy
0x7aa4971ed0e7cf31efba79876ae70fcc5ec135d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.45
Total PnL
$-135.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score >95?
10 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2025$10.00
$3.60
- YES
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
473 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
294 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 14-21?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 14-21?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score >95?$6.40Apr 15, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea before May?$1.00Apr 3, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?$0.00Mar 21, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?$10.00Mar 18, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-574 times March 14-21?$10.00Mar 17, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 525-549 times March 14-21?$10.00Mar 17, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?$20.00Mar 17, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?$0.00Mar 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?$0.00Mar 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?$0.00Mar 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 600-624 times March 7-14?$0.00Mar 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?$0.00Mar 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?$0.00Mar 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?$0.00Mar 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?$0.00Mar 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14?$0.00Mar 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 675-699 times March 7-14?$0.00Mar 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?$20.00Mar 13, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?$68.18Mar 13, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?$12.47Mar 13, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $17.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 11:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.