Frayed-Cowbell
0x7ab6d854728598471459286c88d26cf6576b4e29
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.06
Total PnL
$-15.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
4588 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
4586 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2307 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2307 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2304 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2302 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2301 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2298 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: AI Edition$2.03Jan 15, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 15, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.00Jan 15, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$9.2KDec 20, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$2.3KDec 20, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$9.2KDec 20, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$56.50Dec 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Dec 20, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$4.5KDec 20, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$4.6KDec 20, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$4.6KDec 20, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.3KDec 20, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.3KDec 20, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$9.81Dec 20, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.1KDec 20, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$84.69Dec 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.1KDec 20, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$2.3KDec 20, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$7.40Dec 20, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$2.3KDec 20, 04:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $939.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".