Scientific-Strap
0x7ab8c3e47918594e48b9b50c94d2cdf19d3565db
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$409.46
Total PnL
$67.02
Realised
$84.58
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
200 shares @ 75.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$167.00
$16.00
- NO
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
80 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.40
$6.00
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
257 shares @ 18.6¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$43.73
$-4.14
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
236 shares @ 9.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$21.25
$-1.51
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
130 shares @ 15.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$17.55
$-2.95
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
104 shares @ 13.2¢·now 16.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$16.97
$3.30
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 24.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$16.58
$14.58
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
257 shares @ 2.4¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.76
$3.57
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
97 shares @ 4.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.23
$2.53
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
243 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.16
$1.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.05Jul 18, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.04Jul 9, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.03Jul 9, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.08Jul 9, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.16Jul 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.02Jul 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.30Jul 9, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.18Jul 9, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.14Jul 8, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.36Jul 8, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.42Jul 8, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$1.20Jul 8, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.47Jul 8, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.72Jul 8, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.52Jul 8, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.02Jul 8, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$1.04Jul 8, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$0.11Jul 8, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$2.16Jul 8, 16:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.