Testy-Line
0x7abffa2745457a446c0cddaca70303f7b73be967
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$7.13
Total PnL
$-145.16
Realised
$21.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
4755 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$7.13
$-2.38
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
933 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?
389 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" 3+ times during the announcement on December 19?
318 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?
269 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$9.98Jul 29, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$83.13Apr 9, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$41.00Apr 7, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.00Apr 7, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?$31.00Apr 1, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$4.48Apr 1, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$7.06Apr 1, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$19.56Apr 1, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.00Mar 24, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.00Mar 24, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$10.00Mar 24, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$11.12Mar 24, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$33.00Mar 24, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$11.00Jan 25, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Africa win on 2026-01-04?$0.37Jan 4, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-01-04?$1.00Jan 4, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$82.81Jan 4, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$17.62Jan 4, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?$2.61Jan 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$14.46Jan 4, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $14.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.