Improbable-Responsibility
0x7ac83882979ccb5665cea83cb269e558b55077cd
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$81.7K
Total PnL
$21.0K
Realised
$14.4K
Win rate
76%
131 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
5318 shares @ 88.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$5.2K
$548.85
- YES
Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?
3807 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.8K
$6.68
- NO
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
3846 shares @ 81.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.8K
$637.16
- YES
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
7636 shares @ 23.4¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$2.3K
$502.73
- NO
Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
2194 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.1K
$15.32
- NO
Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
2065 shares @ 90.5¢·now 97.3¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$2.0K
$140.71
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?
2513 shares @ 58.8¢·now 78.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.0K
$481.68
- YES
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
2656 shares @ 49.5¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.7K
$370.67
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
2679 shares @ 57.5¢·now 61.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.6K
$108.01
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
7662 shares @ 23.7¢·now 21.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.6K
$-165.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$2.0020m ago
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$3.0020m ago
- YIELD$0.093h ago
- REWARD$5.453h ago
- REWARD$4.503h ago
- REWARD$37.097h ago
- TRADESELLWill Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?$75.248h ago
- TRADESELLWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$44.969h ago
- TRADESELLWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$14.499h ago
- TRADESELLWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$14.129h ago
- TRADESELLWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$45.709h ago
- TRADESELLWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$8.629h ago
- TRADESELLWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$9.669h ago
- TRADESELLWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$19.199h ago
- TRADESELLWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$16.459h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$0.209h ago
- TRADESELLWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$40.959h ago
- TRADESELLWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$12.809h ago
- TRADESELLWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$19.199h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$2.249h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $132.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 20m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.