Dishonest-Warming
0x7acd2773732fb8bf7cf0497635103e7272bcae09
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.8K
Total PnL
$989.61
Realised
$443.29
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
3941 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.4K
$277.32
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
3756 shares @ 73.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.1K
$382.53
- YES
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
151 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$110.32
$4.50
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
200 shares @ 53.5¢·now 52.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$104.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.22
$-2.77
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
150 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.30
$-3.64
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2457 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-108.61
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$4.30Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$4.20Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$2.30Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.15Jun 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.95Jun 13, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$1.25Jun 13, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$125.62Jun 13, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$1.86Jun 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$0.88Jun 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$4.37Jun 12, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.21Jun 12, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$3.70Jun 12, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$1.83Jun 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$5.38Jun 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.22Jun 11, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.32Jun 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$1.13Jun 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$7.50Jun 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$9.00Jun 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?$0.85Jun 11, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $65.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.