Fake-Duck
0x7aceacce64d5336e63a78e4040d8321d68138962
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
57%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 27?
4800 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-553.41
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 13?
4320 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-384.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 29?
4032 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-218.16
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 25?
3840 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-297.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 26?
3840 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-634.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 20?
3645 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-856.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 27?
3360 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-484.79
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 12?
3359 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-280.68
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 28?
2880 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-215.41
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 17?
2880 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-295.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 31?$0.16Mar 31, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 31?$1.02Mar 31, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 31?$54.72Mar 31, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 31?$159.12Mar 31, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 30?$77.63Mar 30, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 30?$34.56Mar 30, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 30?$34.56Mar 30, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 30?$207.36Mar 30, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$1.14Mar 24, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$1.71Mar 24, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$14.63Mar 24, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$19.00Mar 24, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$25.92Mar 24, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$25.92Mar 24, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$44.16Mar 24, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$46.08Mar 24, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$134.40Mar 24, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$48.00Mar 24, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$48.00Mar 24, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 23?$14.34Mar 23, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $70.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.