0x7adc818e37d177ae1406bc756bc7285b0775a971
0x7adc818e37d177ae1406bc756bc7285b0775a971
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$315.23
Total PnL
$130.07
Realised
$17.83
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?
85 shares @ 31.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$72.64
$46.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?
89 shares @ 23.1¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$70.89
$50.39
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 17?
94 shares @ 36.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$41.38
$7.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 17?
105 shares @ 23.5¢·now 26.8¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$28.07
$3.44
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 17?
33 shares @ 43.7¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$17.19
$2.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 16?
16 shares @ 44.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$16.30
$9.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?
17 shares @ 7.8¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$15.91
$14.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?
54 shares @ 20.8¢·now 23.4¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$12.54
$1.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?
66 shares @ 16.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$12.16
$1.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 16?
78 shares @ 16.4¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$10.16
$-2.67
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?$17.11Jul 16, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?$3.21Jul 16, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?$6.78Jul 16, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?$10.01Jul 16, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$4.34Jul 16, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?$1.41Jul 16, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?$1.10Jul 16, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 16?$3.56Jul 16, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?$11.52Jul 16, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?$0.64Jul 16, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 16?$4.93Jul 16, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?$0.27Jul 16, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?$5.91Jul 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?$1.72Jul 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?$5.28Jul 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?$7.82Jul 16, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$2.31Jul 16, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 16?$1.10Jul 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?$1.10Jul 16, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?$1.10Jul 16, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 14:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.