Blank-Calibre
0x7adfd7f206cc68b7736a85d02ec4e3d827547fdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$92.40
Total PnL
$-83.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
68 shares @ 84.9¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$55.64
$-2.42
- NO
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?
27 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$26.84
$4.03
- YES
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
68 shares @ 11.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.92
$2.39
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
198 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-75.24
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates
92 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.28
- NO
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
27 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$3.51Apr 18, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?$22.95Apr 18, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?$58.06Apr 18, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$7.53Apr 18, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$92.00Apr 18, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates$8.28Feb 24, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$82.98Feb 24, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$75.24Feb 24, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$42.00Feb 16, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$60.00Feb 16, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$64.00Feb 16, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$34.44Jan 3, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.11Jan 3, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.11Jan 3, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$6.16Jan 3, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$22.00Jan 3, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMIs Earth flat?$65.57Jan 3, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs Earth flat?$63.60Mar 31, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada join US as 51st state before July?$63.60Mar 31, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada join US as 51st state before July?$63.14Jan 23, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $23.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 18:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.