Unwelcome-Behalf
0x7ae4b06fca9162214525cf4c592b21dc6153fc82
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
195
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-456.27
Realised
$-166.77
Win rate
35%
93 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 195- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 29?
302 shares @ 62.3¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$145.10
$-43.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?
190 shares @ 71.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$130.49
$-5.77
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 30?
157 shares @ 61.5¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$85.56
$-10.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 30?
157 shares @ 46.5¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$71.43
$-1.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 29?
86 shares @ 81.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$69.28
$-1.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 30?
72 shares @ 88.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$63.07
$-0.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 30?
92 shares @ 69.4¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$62.17
$-1.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 30?
69 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$58.75
$-0.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 29?
75 shares @ 74.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$57.80
$2.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 30?
75 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$54.75
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 30?$3.00Jul 29, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 30?$2.72Jul 29, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 30?$26.33Jul 29, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 30?$0.20Jul 29, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 30?$1.00Jul 29, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 30?$4.87Jul 29, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 30?$0.01Jul 29, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 30?$1.15Jul 29, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29?$42.42Jul 29, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 30?$1.15Jul 29, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 30?$3.60Jul 29, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 29?$24.48Jul 29, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 30?$0.20Jul 29, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$27.51Jul 29, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 29?$1.92Jul 29, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 30?$29.52Jul 29, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 30?$27.75Jul 29, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29?$3.82Jul 29, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 30?$0.64Jul 29, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 30?$6.67Jul 29, 05:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 93 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
93 closed markets, 35% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 04:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 93 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.