0x7ae73acfa4193aac381ae4f6756b3ff1586ece0f
0x7ae73acfa4193aac381ae4f6756b3ff1586ece0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$18.74
Total PnL
$-4.72
Realised
$-0.43
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$3.10
$0.04
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- NO
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.45
$0.02
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 12 be greater than 2,400,000?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
1 shares @ 85.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$1.18
$0.17
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
1 shares @ 86.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$1.17
$0.16
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.05
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.04
$0.03
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.01
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 21, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Mar 12, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.00Mar 12, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.25Mar 12, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?$3.82Mar 12, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.00Feb 14, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 12 be greater than 2,400,000?$0.00Feb 14, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMU19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs India Under-19s$1.12Feb 11, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cesena FC (-2.5)$1.02Feb 11, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on February 10?$0.00Feb 11, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Delfino Pescara 1936 (-2.5)$0.00Feb 11, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Delfino Pescara 1936 (-2.5)$1.02Feb 11, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 10, 11AM ET$0.00Feb 11, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 10, 11AM ET$1.41Feb 11, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 10, 2PM ET$2.24Feb 11, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMChelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5$3.90Feb 11, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Feb 10, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 10, 2PM ET$0.93Feb 10, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 10, 2PM ET$1.01Feb 10, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 10, 2PM ET$0.99Feb 10, 19:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".