Sticky-Vegetable
0x7aea306719d4a8b7931ff82dbbdcae0d64212ab8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-137.78
Win rate
0%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
6817 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 28?
1178 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?
1152 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 28?
1095 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 28?
1094 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
1013 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.70Aug 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.51Aug 18, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.83Aug 18, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.52Aug 18, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.65Aug 18, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.51Aug 18, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.60Aug 18, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.51Aug 18, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.74Aug 18, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.51Aug 18, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.63Aug 18, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.51Aug 18, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.61Aug 18, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.51Aug 18, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 18?$1.05Aug 18, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?$1.04Aug 18, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.63Aug 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 18?$1.02Aug 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 18?$1.03Aug 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 18?$1.04Aug 18, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
199 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.