Focused-Integer
0x7aec1e896fb93af3eb0aa06c539a2c95fdb72b9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.8K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
7011 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 0 Croatia?
2980 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-221.25
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?
2824 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Canada?
2768 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-410.00
- YES
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?
2408 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia?
1581 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-153.28
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada?
1573 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?
1428 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-150.78
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Canada?
1235 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-209.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$28.02Jul 19, 19:23 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$12.44Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.05Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$7.82Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.70Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco?$782.15Jun 30, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?$400.84Jun 30, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?$376.95Jun 30, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.4KJun 30, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?$1.4KJun 29, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?$421.78Jun 29, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?$205.57Jun 29, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$483.46Jun 29, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Paraguay?$102.82Jun 29, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Germany (-1.5)$228.69Jun 29, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLGermany leading at halftime?$19.51Jun 29, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Paraguay?$90.58Jun 29, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?$90.43Jun 29, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$230.87Jun 29, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$231.06Jun 29, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $792.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.