Definitive-Ballot
0x7af145ab886eafdbed66a39b28f61f226a885a2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$305.54
Total PnL
$-302.86
Realised
$-67.59
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
335 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$85.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
81 shares @ 62.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$68.15
$18.15
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$49.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 26?
627 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-47.69
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
441 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 28?
101 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.23
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$59.94Jun 14, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Switzerland (-2.5)$35.13Jun 13, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.21Jun 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$40.54Jun 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$50.63Jun 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$27.13Jun 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$25.68Jun 13, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$200.20Jun 13, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.94Jun 13, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$0.00Jun 13, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-2.5)$30.62Jun 13, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$2.77Jun 13, 01:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$85.00Jun 12, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$306.66Jun 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$50.57Jun 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$18.35Jun 12, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$20.46Jun 12, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$89.87Jun 12, 14:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $95.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 06:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.