Measly-Dessert
0x7af30df005d3781df99a14ff196e792f5864caf2
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.7K
Realised
$116.05
Win rate
96%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
1269 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-97.47
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
1060 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
836 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
742 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
623 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
424 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
381 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
365 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-158.18
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
355 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
335 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$19.82Jul 21, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$2.78Jul 21, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.06Jul 21, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$5.00Jul 21, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$4.03Jul 21, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$6.77Jul 21, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$2.12Jul 21, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$6.75Jul 21, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$0.90Jul 21, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$3.60Jul 21, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$3.85Jul 21, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$9.74Jul 21, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.70Jul 21, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$4.00Jul 21, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$1.70Jul 21, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$1.29Jul 21, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$45.70Jul 21, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$4.88Jul 21, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$4.50Jul 21, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.09Jul 21, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 23:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.