Fickle-Neuropathologist
0x7af7c23b487a7979c71e32a579997fb963ae4c89
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-126.1K
Realised
$-3.2K
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
79646 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-40.0K
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
74620 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.8K
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
52145 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.2K
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
42755 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.8K
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
30395 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.7K
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
26060 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-990.27
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
22130 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.0K
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
21403 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
13905 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
3410 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-988.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.00Jul 20, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$175.09Jul 20, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$25.16Jul 20, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$25.16Jul 20, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$25.17Jul 20, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$25.19Jul 20, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$25.24Jul 20, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$25.51Jul 20, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.00Jul 20, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$138.26Jul 20, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$26.05Jul 20, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$26.17Jul 20, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Jul 20, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$75.76Jul 20, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$26.17Jul 20, 12:29 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$20.59Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$1.0KJul 19, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$5.9KJul 19, 13:19 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$159.79Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$181.8KJul 15, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $14.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 02:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.