Scarce-Comparison
0x7afd67667d79bda1a87617cbfe9aea2a4c116690
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-88.77
Realised
$13.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1833 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1833 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
618 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
615 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
591 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
449 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
417 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$2.19Mar 13, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 13, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 6, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 6, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 6, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.00Mar 4, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.00Mar 4, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.58Mar 4, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.00Mar 4, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$2.00Mar 4, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$5.00Feb 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$10.38Feb 21, 23:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 03:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".