0x7aff5e0b7dd263fcb1ea29220346451835410c00
0x7aff5e0b7dd263fcb1ea29220346451835410c00
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$110.00
Total PnL
$-361.45
Realised
$-25.08
Win rate
36%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$5.00
$2.60
- NO
Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-11-15?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$5.00
$2.55
- NO
Will Slovakia vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$5.00
$1.75
- NO
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-11-13?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$5.00
$0.50
- NO
Will Serbia vs. Latvia end in a draw?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$5.00
$0.70
- NO
Will Cyprus vs. Austria end in a draw?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$5.00
$0.85
- NO
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$5.00
$1.30
- YES
Will Venezuela win on 2025-11-14?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$5.00
$3.80
- NO
Will Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$5.00
$0.22
- YES
Will France win on 2025-11-13?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$5.00
$0.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill France win on 2025-11-13?$0.00Mar 2, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?$0.00Mar 2, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela win on 2025-11-14?$0.00Mar 2, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08?$0.00Mar 2, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus vs. Austria end in a draw?$0.00Mar 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Azerbaijan vs. Iceland end in a draw?$0.00Mar 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2025-11-15?$0.00Mar 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?$0.00Mar 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-11-15?$0.00Mar 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08?$0.00Mar 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador win on 2025-11-13?$0.00Feb 27, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win on 2025-11-13?$0.00Feb 27, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2025-11-13?$0.00Feb 27, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?$0.00Feb 27, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela win on 2025-11-14?$0.00Feb 27, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?$0.00Feb 27, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus vs. Austria end in a draw?$0.00Feb 27, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serbia vs. Latvia end in a draw?$0.00Feb 27, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zimbabwe win on 2025-11-13?$0.00Feb 27, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Slovakia vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?$0.00Feb 27, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
61 closed markets, 36% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.