Clumsy-Tensor
0x7b049b73689ae819672df2251aa870264b402b49
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$9.81
Total PnL
$-2.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$2.15
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.81
$0.61
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 74.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ROCKETS
Lakers vs. Rockets
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- THUNDER
Rockets vs. Thunder
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?$2.85May 22, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Hawks$1.69May 22, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.20May 9, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$1.00Mar 16, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Hawks$1.00Mar 16, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWizards vs. Nets$1.56Mar 16, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Nets$1.00Feb 7, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Thunder$1.00Feb 7, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2.00Feb 7, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$399.60Feb 7, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$799.20Feb 7, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$399.20Feb 7, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$68.90Feb 7, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$798.40Feb 7, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$28.67Feb 7, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$161.18Feb 7, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$68.18Feb 7, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$1.00Feb 7, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$28.41Feb 7, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $145.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 17:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.