0x7b069e2ee65e5fabe00973aae6a5a85efb8f4b87
0x7b069e2ee65e5fabe00973aae6a5a85efb8f4b87
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-583.23
Realised
$-14.41
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?
113630 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-113.52
- ENGLAND
Spread: England (-1.5)
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
209 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-99.04
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
173 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-70.20
- COLOMBIA
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
129 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-78.44
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- OVER
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- OVER
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
98 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
- UNITED STATES
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
90 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-49.42
- OVER
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$69.20Jul 19, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$51.52Jul 18, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09Jul 16, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$126.58Jul 15, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$540.54Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$176.39Jul 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$120.99Jul 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$51.51Jul 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$256.72Jul 15, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5$10.45Jul 15, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-1.5)$52.12Jul 15, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$49.64Jul 14, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$51.89Jul 14, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$47.73Jul 9, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$49.32Jul 7, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5$1.21Jul 7, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$79.36Jul 7, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5$80.65Jul 7, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$36.29Jul 7, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5$50.57Jul 7, 04:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $61.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 19:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.